Okay, so, let’s talk about Kyle Pitts ADP. This whole thing started when I was getting ready for my fantasy football draft. I’ve been doing this for years, and I always try to be super prepared.
First off, I dug into a bunch of expert rankings. I found this one expert, Jared Smola, who’s apparently really good at this stuff. He’s got this “Comeback Player of the Year” thing he does. In 2021 it was Kupp, and last year it was Barkley. He also has a “Draft War Room” thing that links up with your live draft and your league’s scoring system. Seems pretty neat, right?
Then, I started thinking about my draft position. From what I’ve seen, the first overall pick is usually the best, second is second best, and so on. If you’re picking first, you’re pretty much guaranteed CMC. Then you can go a bunch of different ways after that. I personally like grabbing Waller and then snagging the best RB/WR still on the board by the time you get to the third round, which often ends up being someone like Joe Mixon or Michael Thomas.
Next, I started looking at ADP (Average Draft Position) data. Apparently, this “Wisdom of the Crowd” thing is pretty strong. Basically, ADP is a surprisingly accurate predictor of season-long production. So I figured there had to be some smart ways to use this data.
It got me thinking maybe it’s not just about which players, but which positions to focus on first. Some model I came across suggested that it’s usually best to draft wide receivers and running backs first, then a tight end, then a defense, then a kicker, and finally a quarterback.
Now, about Kyle Pitts specifically. I saw some recent news about him. Apparently, in 2023, he only scored the 16th-most fantasy points per game (PPR) among tight ends. Not exactly what you want from a guy who’s supposed to be a stud. There’s also talk about him having just 82.7 fantasy points in 2024, which is only 5.2 points per game. That puts him at the 12th-ranked tight end and 177th overall. Ouch.
I also saw something from Yahoo Sports, Scott Pianowski, talking about Pitts’ fantasy value for 2024. Basically, he’s not looking like a top-tier tight end option. This just means I had to adjust my expectations and strategy. Instead of thinking of him as a must-have, I started to see him as a mid-round option. I realized that in my draft I wouldn’t need to use a high pick to grab him.
After seeing all this, here’s what I did:
- I prioritized other tight ends who were ranked higher.
- I decided to wait until the middle rounds to consider Pitts.
- I ended up drafting him in the 7th round, which felt like good value given his potential upside.
So, yeah, that’s my Kyle Pitts ADP story. I started with high hopes, did a bunch of research, adjusted my strategy, and ended up with what I think is a solid plan. We’ll see how it all plays out this season!
